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CLOSED · 08:25 ET
Market ClerkRecap
Sun Nov 1 · markets closed1 signal on Oct 31129 insider buys this week · $10BCIRO short report next: Nov 15The week ahead

GFF

GRIFFON CORP
NYSE · INDUSTRIALS · METAL DOORS, SASH, FRAMES, MOLDINGS & TRIM
101.09
−1.83 −1.78%
USD · close Oct 30

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MKT CAP $4.6BP/E 25.9DIV YIELD 0.83%FCF YIELD 6.49%REV TTM $2.8B +26.9%NET INCOME $179M +155.8%NET DEBT $1.3B52W 66.79 – 107.22SEC XBRL · TTM TO Invalid Date

How GFF rewrote its risk factors

10-K ITEM 1A · FY2024 → FY2025
Text kept
62%
of sentences unchanged
Added
67
new sentences
Dropped
63
sentences removed
Length
+69
words, now 8,211

New in FY2025

  • The current worldwide economic uncertainty and market volatility could continue to have an adverse effect on Griffon during 2026, within both the HBP and CPP segments, which are linked to the U.S. housing and the commercial property markets, and the U.S. economy in general.
  • These conditions could make it more difficult to obtain additional credit on favorable terms for investments in current businesses or for acquisitions, or could render financing unavailable; in addition, while we do not have any material debt maturities prior to 2028, if these conditions persist, we may have difficulty refinancing our debt before it comes due.
  • For the year ended September 30, 2025, approximately 63% and 37% of Griffon’s consolidated revenue was derived from the HBP and CPP segments, respectively, which were dependent on renovation of existing homes, new home construction, and commercial non-residential construction, repair and replacement.
  • U.S. annual inflation rose to approximately 9.1% in 2022, its highest level in about 40 years, and has since moderated to the low‑to‑mid 2% range, according to the U.S.
  • Department of Labor data and projections from the Social Security Administration.
  • Although inflation rates have generally decreased over the last three years, future increases in inflation may result in decreased demand for Griffon’s operating company’s products and services and increased operating costs and expenses, including for labor, raw materials and supplies.
  • Any attempts to offset Griffon’s cost increases with price increases may result in reduced sales, increased customer dissatisfaction or reputational harm.
  • Many of these retailers import products directly from suppliers based in low-cost countries to source and sell products under their own private label brands to compete with HBP and CPP products and brands, which increases pricing pressure on our products.
  • In addition, the intense competition in the retail and e-commerce sectors, combined with the overall increasingly competitive economic environment, may cause certain HBP or CPP customers to experience financial difficulty, or fail.
  • Home Depot accounted for approximately 10% of Griffon’s consolidated revenue, 9% of HBP's revenue and 12% of CPP's revenue for the year ended September 30, 2025.
  • Griffon’s operating results also depend on successfully developing and maintaining relationships with additional key customers.
  • Also, both HBP and CPP extend credit to its customers, which exposes Griffon to credit risk.
  • The Company's largest customer accounted for approximately 6%, 14% and 9% of the net accounts receivable of HBP, CPP and Griffon as of September 30, 2025, respectively.
  • The percentage of HBP and CPP worldwide sourced finished goods as a percent of revenue approximated 6% and 38%, respectively, in 2025.
  • The percentage of HBP and CPP's worldwide sourced components as a percent of cost of goods sold approximated 18% and 3%, respectively, in 2025.
  • Finally, the recent expansion by CPP of its global sourcing strategy to include various product lines for the U.S. market has increased CPP’s reliance on third-party suppliers and, accordingly, CPP’s exposure to the risks relating to the use of third-party suppliers.
  • If Griffon is unable to obtain raw materials for products at favorable prices it could adversely impact operating performance.
  • Certain raw materials used by CPP are also sourced from China and therefore may have their prices and availability impacted by tariffs imposed on trade between the United States and China.
  • Through the expanded sourcing strategy and the closure of U.S. facilities, CPP has increased its reliance on suppliers in China, which could exacerbate the impact of tariffs.
  • While CPP has established certain suppliers outside of China and is in the process of developing additional suppliers outside of China, and has increased sourcing from several other countries in an effort to minimize the risks associated with sourcing from China, various tariff actions taken since January 2025 by the U.S. government relating to imports from other countries may increase the costs of shifting CPP’s supply chain away from China.
  • Uncertainties regarding the future of these tariffs may cause CPP to delay, postpone, or modify some of its supply chain sourcing changes, and may thereby impact CPP’s ability to realize the full benefits of its expanded sourcing strategy.
  • Because of the volume of sourcing by CPP from international locations, trade actions by the U.S. government since January 2025, as well as future trade actions, represent a continuing risk to CPP’s revenue and operating performance.
  • U.S. imports from China are projected to reach $439 billion in 2025.
  • The majority of these imports were already subject to the tariffs imposed on Chinese imports since March 2018 under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974, as amended.
  • In January 2025, the U.S. issued the “America First Trade Policy,” pursuant to which the administration commenced a broad range of trade investigations that have resulted in the imposition of a series of significant tariffs on products from many countries around the world.
  • These actions aim to address national security, migration and trade imbalances, but have triggered significant global trade tensions and numerous legal challenges.
  • Since their implementation, many of these tariffs have been paused, expanded, increased, reduced, or rolled back, in some cases multiple times, and several additional tariffs have been added, increasing the overall scope of products covered.
  • The volatile nature of these tariff actions creates significant uncertainty about the financial and operational impact on CPP’s operating and financial performance and may hinder the ability of CPP to develop and implement sustainable tariff mitigation strategies.
  • Additionally, the U.S. government has announced an enhanced focus on aggressive customs enforcement, including through the creation of a Trade Fraud Task Force, a cross-agency initiative of the U.S.
  • Departments of Justice and Homeland Security aimed at combatting trade fraud, tariff evasion, and customs violations.
  • Compliance with evolving trade regulations in light of this heightened enforcement paradigm has increased administrative complexity and costs, and the failure to adapt quickly and effectively to these changes could materially and adversely affect CPP’s business.
  • In addition to tariffs, an increased global focus on forced labor in supply chains continues to have the potential to impact our business operations.
  • In June 2022, the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act (UFLPA) went into effect and establishes a rebuttable presumption that goods made in whole or in part in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region of the People’s Republic of China are produced with forced labor, and directs U.S.
  • Customs and Border Protection (CBP) to prevent entry of products made with forced labor into the U.S. market.
  • From October 1, 2024 through September 30, 2025, more than 6,900 shipments to U.S importers were targeted by CBP for further inspection, compared to approximately 4,200 shipments in the prior year.
  • Additionally, the Forced Labor Enforcement Task Force has determined that certain industry sectors (including consumer products and mass merchandising, electronics, apparel, cotton and cotton products, silica-based products, PVC and aluminum products), and countries of origin outside of China (including Malaysia, Vietnam, and Thailand) have an inherently higher risk of forced labor, such that CBP may detain goods within these sectors suspected of being manufactured with materials originating from Xinjiang, or coming from a country identified as higher risk.
  • With the expansion of its global sourcing strategy and the closure of numerous U.S. manufacturing locations, CPP is likely to experience a diminished ability to take advantage of the trade benefits of the USMCA.
  • Changes in U.S. trade policy, including new tariffs and vessel fees for Chinese-built ships, as well as tariff-driven inventory surges, can disrupt international shipping, complicate import planning, and may result in delivery delays and increased costs, which could have an adverse impact on the business and financial results of HBP and CPP.
  • If a future pandemic or similar outbreak occurs and governments take protective actions, it may have a material adverse impact on Griffon’s businesses and operating results for the reasons described above.
  • In 2025, 49% of CPP's sales occurred during the second and third quarters compared to 52% in 2024 and 54% in 2023.

and 27 more.

Gone since FY2024

  • The current worldwide economic uncertainty and market volatility could continue to have an adverse effect on Griffon during 2025, within both the HBP and CPP segments, which are linked to the U.S. housing and the commercial property markets, and the U.S. economy in general.
  • These conditions could make it more difficult to obtain additional credit on favorable terms for investments in current businesses or for acquisitions, or could render financing unavailable; in addition, while we do not have any near term debt maturities, if these conditions persist, we may have difficulty refinancing our debt when it comes due.
  • For the year ended September 30, 2024, approximately 61% and 39% of Griffon’s consolidated revenue was derived from the HBP and CPP segments, respectively, which were dependent on renovation of existing homes, new home construction, and commercial non-residential construction, repair and replacement.
  • Inflation rates, particularly in the United States, increased to historic levels in 2022.
  • Department of Labor, the annual inflation rate for the United States decreased to 3.7% for the twelve months ended September 30, 2023, and it further decreased to 3.5% for the twelve months ended September 30, 2024.
  • Although the past two fiscal years reflected a decrease in inflation rates since 2022, future increases in inflation may result in decreased demand for Griffon’s operating company’s products and services and increased operating costs and expenses, including for labor, raw materials and supplies.
  • Any attempts to offset Griffon’s cost increases with price increases may result in reduced sales, increased customer dissatisfaction or harm to reputation.
  • Many of these retailers import products directly from suppliers based in low-cost countries to source and sell products under their own private label brands to compete with HBP and CPP products and brands, which puts increasing price pressure on the products of these businesses.
  • In addition, the intense competition in the retail and e-commerce sectors, combined with the overall increasingly competitive economic environment, may result in a number of customers experiencing financial difficulty, or failing in the future.
  • Home Depot accounted for approximately 11% of consolidated revenue, 8% of HBP's revenue and 15% of CPP's revenue for the year ended September 30, 2024.
  • Griffon’s operating results will also depend on successfully developing relationships with additional key customers.
  • Also, both HBP and CPP extend credit to its customers, which exposes it to credit risk.
  • Our largest customer accounted for approximately 8%, 16% and 12% of the net accounts receivable of HBP, CPP and Griffon as of September 30, 2024, respectively.
  • The percentage of HBP and CPP worldwide sourced finished goods as a percent of revenue approximated 6% and 33%, respectively, in 2024.
  • The percentage of HBP and CPP's worldwide sourced components as a percent of cost of goods sold approximated 18% and 4%, respectively, in 2024.
  • Griffon announced in May 2023 that CPP was expanding its global sourcing strategy to include long handled tools, material handling, and wood storage and organization product lines for the U.S. market.
  • This has increased CPP’s reliance on third-party suppliers and, therefore, CPP’s exposure to the risks relating to the use of third-party suppliers.
  • See the risk below titled “The expansion of CPP’s global sourcing strategy may not achieve its intended results.” If Griffon is unable to obtain raw materials for products at favorable prices it could adversely impact operating performance.
  • Certain raw materials used by CPP may be sourced from China and therefore may have their prices and availability impacted by tariffs imposed on trade between the United States and China.
  • Through the expanded sourcing strategy and the closure of U.S. facilities, CPP has increased the reliance on suppliers in China, which could further the impact of tariffs.
  • CPP is taking steps to develop multiple suppliers outside of China to allow for supply chain sourcing pivot, as needed, in an effort to minimize this risk.
  • Because of the volume of sourcing by CPP from China, the ongoing trade dispute between the U.S. and China, including the imposition of tariffs on various Chinese imports into the U.S. at various times since March 2018, represents a continuing risk to CPP revenue and operating performance.
  • U.S. imports from China exceeded $425 billion in 2023, the majority of which were subject to the Section 301 tariffs.
  • In May 2024, the United States Trade Representative (USTR) completed a mandatory four-year review of the tariffs under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974.
  • In addition to continuing the tariffs rather than allowing them to terminate under the Trade Act, the USTR announced additional tariffs on a number of products, to be implemented over the two-year period 2024-2026.
  • These changes are expected to have a limited impact on current CPP products; however, the increases may complicate efforts to expand CPP's product portfolio under its new global sourcing strategy.
  • In addition to tariffs, an increased global focus on forced labor in supply chains has the potential to impact our business operations.
  • In June 2022, the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act (UFLPA) went into effect and establishes a rebuttable presumption that goods made in whole or in part in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region of the People’s Republic of China are produced with forced labor, and directs US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) to prevent entry of products made with forced labor into the U.S. market.
  • From October 1, 2023 through September 30, 2024, more than 4,200 shipments to U.S importers, valued at approximately $1.7 billion, were targeted by CBP for further inspection.
  • Additionally, the Forced Labor Enforcement Task Force has determined that certain industry sectors (including apparel, cotton and cotton products, silica-based products, PVC and aluminum products), and countries of origin outside of China (including Vietnam and Thailand) have an inherently higher risk of forced labor, such that CBP may detain goods within these sectors suspected of being manufactured with materials originating from Xinjiang, or coming from a country identified as higher risk.
  • The continuing political and economic conflicts between U.S. and China have resulted in, and may continue to result in retaliatory actions from, both countries, and it is unknown whether current US-China relations over Taiwan, including the signature of the US-Taiwan Initiative on 21 st Century Trade signed in May 2023, or the United States' continuing commitment to support Taiwan with equipment and services for its self-defense, will impact the ongoing trade dispute with China.
  • We cannot predict what new retaliatory policies and regulations may be implemented by the Chinese government in response to the U.S./Taiwan engagement, and any such policies and regulations or other responses may adversely affect our business operations in China.
  • With the expansion of its global sourcing strategy and the closure of numerous US manufacturing locations, CPP is likely to experience a diminished ability to take advantage of the trade benefits of the USMCA.
  • These issues, along with the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine, could delay importation of products or require HBP and CPP to locate alternative ports or warehousing providers to avoid disruption to customers.
  • These alternatives may not be available on short notice or could result in higher transit costs, which could have an adverse impact on the business and financial results of HBP and CPP.
  • The expansion of CPP’s global sourcing strategy may not achieve its intended results.
  • This expansion of CPP’s global sourcing strategy has increased Griffon’s exposure to certain other risks to which it is subject, including those related to the procurement of products from third party suppliers, many of whom are located in China and other non-U.S. jurisdictions.
  • CPP is also in the process of selling various U.S. facilities at which CPP formerly conducted operations, and may not realize the proceeds it expects from the sale of these facilities.
  • CPP’s expanded global sourcing strategy may also increase its exposure to cybersecurity risks, as discussed in the below risk factor titled “Griffon’s operations and reputation may be adversely impacted if our information technology (IT) systems, or the IT systems of third parties with whom we do business, fail to perform adequately or if we or such third parties are the subject of a data breach or cyber-attack." The adoption of an asset-light business model for these U.S. products has positioned CPP to better serve customers with a more flexible and cost-effective sourcing model that leverages supplier relationships around the world, which is in turn expected to improve CPP’s competitive positioning and financial performance.
  • There is no guarantee that these intended results will be achieved.

and 23 more.

Sentence-level comparison of Item 1A in the two most recent 10-Ks (FY2024 ↗, FY2025 ↗). A reworded sentence counts as one dropped and one added, so heavy edits read as low “kept”. Headings and page furniture are stripped; nothing is summarised by a model.

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