POLITICIANS · COPY-TRADE BACKTEST

If You Copied Lisa McClain

Representative · Republican · MI

Every position below enters at the close on the disclosure date, the first day this was public, never the underlying trade date. A politician can trade weeks before the STOCK Act filing makes it known; you couldn’t have copied the trade any sooner than that, so neither does this backtest.

See the disclosed trades this is built from

Copying 10 disclosed buys since Mar 4, equal-weighted, held to 2026-10-21

−11.6%

Copy-trade return · 10 positions

+2.1%

S&P 500, same windows

−13.7%

Vs. index

Positions

Ticker	Disclosed	Entry	Last	Return	Index, same window
BBAI	Mar 4	Mar 4 @ $3.83	Oct 21 @ $2.19	−42.8%	+12.9%
BBAI	Mar 4	Mar 4 @ $3.83	Oct 21 @ $2.19	−42.8%	+12.9%
CACI	Oct 12	Oct 12 @ $614.36	Oct 21 @ $623.38	+1.5%	−0.6%
CAT	Oct 12	Oct 12 @ $799.37	Oct 21 @ $740.21	−7.4%	−0.6%
IBRX	Oct 12	Oct 12 @ $10.12	Oct 21 @ $8.64	−14.6%	−0.6%
IBRX	Oct 12	Oct 12 @ $10.12	Oct 21 @ $8.64	−14.6%	−0.6%
MSFT	Oct 12	Oct 12 @ $541.15	Oct 21 @ $532.95	−1.5%	−0.6%
NG	Oct 12	Oct 12 @ $6.73	Oct 21 @ $6.51	−3.3%	−0.6%
OLN	Oct 12	Oct 12 @ $14.71	Oct 21 @ $14.93	+1.5%	−0.6%
RIG	Oct 12	Oct 12 @ $5.60	Oct 21 @ $6.04	+7.9%	−0.6%

How to read this

Entry is the close on (or the next trading day after) the disclosure date, never the underlying trade date, the whole point is honesty about when the public could actually act.
Price return only, dividends are excluded on both sides (the backtest and the index), which understates total return, especially for dividend payers.
Equal-weighted: every disclosed buy counts the same regardless of the actual dollar size of the trade or position.
Buys only, disclosed sells are not mirrored or subtracted; this tracks "what if you bought and held," not the entity's actual net position over time.
Past performance isn't predictive of future results. Not investment advice.

Get the Sunday Recap

Backtests like this, the scoreboard, and the week on the markets, every Sunday. Free.