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POLITICIANS · COPY-TRADE BACKTEST
If You Copied John McGuire
Representative · Republican · VA
Every position below enters at the close on the disclosure date — the first day this was public — never the underlying trade date. A politician can trade weeks before the STOCK Act filing makes it known; you couldn’t have copied the trade any sooner than that, so neither does this backtest.
See the disclosed trades this is built fromCopying 9 disclosed buys since Feb 10, equal-weighted, held to 2026-09-06
+8.1%
Copy-trade return · 9 positions
+4.8%
S&P 500, same windows
+3.3%
Vs. index
Positions
| Ticker | Disclosed | Entry | Last | Return | Index, same window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT | Feb 10 | Feb 10 @ $413.27 | Sep 4 @ $499.70 | +20.9% | +11.2% |
| NVDA | Feb 10 | Feb 10 @ $188.54 | Sep 4 @ $230.36 | +22.2% | +11.2% |
| AAPL | May 13 | May 13 @ $298.87 | Sep 4 @ $319.97 | +7.1% | +3.7% |
| MSFT | May 13 | May 13 @ $405.21 | Sep 4 @ $499.70 | +23.3% | +3.7% |
| NVDA | May 13 | May 13 @ $225.83 | Sep 4 @ $230.36 | +2.0% | +3.7% |
| META | Jun 10 | Jun 10 @ $570.98 | Sep 4 @ $616.77 | +8.0% | +6.2% |
| SPCX | Jul 8 | Jul 8 @ $148.30 | Sep 4 @ $147.95 | −0.2% | +3.2% |
| AMAT | Aug 10 | Aug 10 @ $522.12 | Sep 4 @ $454.71 | −12.9% | −0.4% |
| NVDA | Sep 2 | Sep 2 @ $224.41 | Sep 4 @ $230.36 | +2.7% | +0.7% |
How to read this
- Entry is the close on (or the next trading day after) the disclosure date, never the underlying trade date — the whole point is honesty about when the public could actually act.
- Price return only — dividends are excluded on both sides (the backtest and the index), which understates total return, especially for dividend payers.
- Equal-weighted: every disclosed buy counts the same regardless of the actual dollar size of the trade or position.
- Buys only — disclosed sells are not mirrored or subtracted; this tracks "what if you bought and held," not the entity's actual net position over time.
- Past performance isn't predictive of future results. Not investment advice.