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POLITICIANS · COPY-TRADE BACKTEST
If You Copied John McGuire
Representative · Republican · VA
Every position below enters at the close on the disclosure date, the first day this was public, never the underlying trade date. A politician can trade weeks before the STOCK Act filing makes it known; you couldn’t have copied the trade any sooner than that, so neither does this backtest.
See the disclosed trades this is built fromCopying 9 disclosed buys since Feb 10, equal-weighted, held to 2026-10-21
+10.8%
Copy-trade return · 9 positions
+5.3%
S&P 500, same windows
+5.5%
Vs. index
Positions
| Ticker | Disclosed | Entry | Last | Return | Index, same window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT | Feb 10 | Feb 10 @ $413.27 | Oct 21 @ $532.07 | +28.7% | +11.7% |
| NVDA | Feb 10 | Feb 10 @ $188.54 | Oct 21 @ $221.28 | +17.4% | +11.7% |
| AAPL | May 13 | May 13 @ $298.87 | Oct 21 @ $344.12 | +15.1% | +4.2% |
| MSFT | May 13 | May 13 @ $405.21 | Oct 21 @ $532.07 | +31.3% | +4.2% |
| NVDA | May 13 | May 13 @ $225.83 | Oct 21 @ $221.28 | −2.0% | +4.2% |
| META | Jun 10 | Jun 10 @ $570.98 | Oct 21 @ $703.41 | +23.2% | +6.7% |
| SPCX | Jul 8 | Jul 8 @ $148.30 | Oct 21 @ $158.01 | +6.5% | +3.6% |
| AMAT | Aug 10 | Aug 10 @ $522.12 | Oct 21 @ $409.28 | −21.6% | +0.0% |
| NVDA | Sep 2 | Sep 2 @ $224.41 | Oct 21 @ $221.28 | −1.4% | +1.2% |
How to read this
- Entry is the close on (or the next trading day after) the disclosure date, never the underlying trade date, the whole point is honesty about when the public could actually act.
- Price return only, dividends are excluded on both sides (the backtest and the index), which understates total return, especially for dividend payers.
- Equal-weighted: every disclosed buy counts the same regardless of the actual dollar size of the trade or position.
- Buys only, disclosed sells are not mirrored or subtracted; this tracks "what if you bought and held," not the entity's actual net position over time.
- Past performance isn't predictive of future results. Not investment advice.